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Zoneneratu Zamtengo Wachitsulo 2022: Msika Wokayikitsa Wopanda Kufuna Kwawo

Pa 22 June, 2022, tsogolo lazitsulo lazitsulo lidatsika pansi pa chizindikiro cha CNY 4,500 pa tonne, mlingo womwe sunawonedwepo kuyambira Disembala watha ndipo tsopano watsika pafupifupi 15% kuchokera pachimake chakumayambiriro kwa Meyi pakati pakufunika kofooka kosalekeza kuphatikiza ndi kukwera kwazinthu.Kuda nkhawa komwe kukukulirakulira kuti kuchepa kwachuma padziko lonse lapansi komwe kudayambika chifukwa chakukulirakulira kwa mabanki akuluakulu komanso kubuka kwa coronavirus ku China kwachepetsa kufunikira kwakupanga.Kuphatikiza pa zomwe zikuchitika, mafakitale adamanganso zosungirako pambuyo pa kusokonezeka kwankhondo ku Ukraine.Kumbali yakutsogolo, zinthu zazikuluzikulu zotere ziyenera kukakamiza osewera zitsulo zazikulu kuti achepetse kupanga, zomwe ziyenera kuthandizira mitengo pakanthawi kochepa.

Zoneneratu Zamtengo Wachitsulo 2022-1
Zoneneratu Zamtengo Wachitsulo 2022-3

Kufuna kwachitsulo ku China, mitengo imatha kukwera pomwe Covid Lockdown itatha

Mtengo wazinthu zopangira (chitsulo ndi malasha) ukuyembekezeka kukhalabe wokwera mu 2022 chifukwa chazovuta zadziko komanso njira zomwe boma lidalamula kuti zichepetse kutulutsa mpweya.Fitch Ratings amayembekezeranso kuti mitengo yachitsulo ikhale yokwera kwambiri chaka chino.

WSA yolosera zakufunika kwachitsulo ku China kudzakhalabe kosalala mu 2022 komanso kukwera mu 2023 pomwe boma la China likuyesera kulimbikitsa ndalama zoyendetsera ntchito ndikukhazikitsa msika wanyumba.

Kufuna kwachitsulo padziko lonse lapansi kukukulira mu 2022 ndi 2023

Ngakhale kusatsimikizika komwe kudachitika chifukwa cha nkhondo ku Ukraine komanso kutsekedwa ku China, WSA idaneneratu kuti kufunikira kwazitsulo padziko lonse lapansi kukwera mu 2022 ndi 2023.

Mu 2023, kufunikira kwachitsulo kukuyembekezeka kukula 2.2% mpaka matani 1.88 biliyoni.Komabe, WSA idachenjeza kuti zomwe zikuyembekezeredwazi zitha kukhala zosatsimikizika kwambiri.

WSA idayembekezeranso kuti nkhondo ku Ukraine idzatha mu 2022 koma zilango zaku Russia zitsalira.Zilango zomwe zinaperekedwa ku Russia zachepetsa kupezeka kwazitsulo ku Ulaya.Malinga ndi data ya WSA, Russia idatulutsa matani 75.6 miliyoni achitsulo mu 2021, zomwe zimawerengera 3.9% yazinthu zonse padziko lonse lapansi.

Zoneneratu zamtengo wachitsulo

Mavuto a Russia-Ukraine asanachitike, katswiri wazofufuza zachuma a Fitch Ratings amayembekeza kuti pafupifupi mtengo wazitsulo wa HRC utsika kufika pa $750 pa toni mu 2022 ndi $535/tani pa 2023 mpaka 2025 mu zomwe zidasindikizidwa kumapeto kwa chaka chatha.

Chifukwa chakuchulukirachulukira komanso kusakhazikika pamsika, akatswiri ambiri adakana kupereka ziwonetsero zamitengo yayitali yachitsulo mpaka 2030.


Nthawi yotumiza: Jun-28-2022